Data ==== The number of people developing symptoms daily are compared to data obtained from several sources at the national, state, or regional levels [JHUCOVID19]_ [NYTCOVID19]_. We found that, for some states or regions, the reported daily counts exhibited a significant amount of noise. This is caused by variation in testing capabilities and sometimes by how data is aggregated from region to region over the coarse of a week. To filter the noise observed in daily case count data, we use of 7-day rolling averages. Time series of daily counts, raw data with black symbols and filtered with red symbols, are presented in :numref:`casedata`. We employ filtered data in the examples shown in this manual. .. figure:: ./figures/FL_NM_case_data.pdf :width: 90 % :name: casedata Daily confirmed cases of COVID-19 aggregated at state level, shown in black symbols, and the corresponding 7-day averaged data shown with red lines and symbols. .. [JHUCOVID19] `COVID-19 Data Repository by the Center for Systems Science and Engineering (CSSE) at Johns Hopkins University `_ .. [NYTCOVID19] `Coronavirus (Covid-19) Data in the United States `_